Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.654871 0.851323 1.073691 1.340735 1.649467 1.992099 2.397991
2025-02-23 0.381223 0.619420 0.926828 1.337218 1.855782 2.475335 3.257421
2025-03-02 0.208846 0.440963 0.786398 1.297435 1.996165 2.883386 4.060172
2025-03-09 0.132295 0.361899 0.750819 1.376550 2.284699 3.489093 5.141510
2025-03-16 0.072286 0.275129 0.674330 1.375489 2.454182 3.943900 6.050912
2025-03-23 0.046681 0.240243 0.671253 1.479642 2.775510 4.615027 7.269534
2025-03-30 0.027334 0.203084 0.650793 1.547526 3.042474 5.219169 8.417795
2025-04-06 0.013715 0.165030 0.614344 1.578091 3.248527 5.741014 9.467081
2025-04-13 0.004626 0.121969 0.548203 1.539989 3.336164 6.088966 10.280545
2025-04-20 0.001354 0.096484 0.513680 1.553701 3.504903 6.558466 11.274001
2025-04-27 0.000206 0.076263 0.483438 1.568850 3.673167 7.029394 12.278001
2025-05-04 NaN 0.053370 0.429530 1.521826 3.725678 7.320482 13.025301
2025-05-11 NaN 0.034920 0.376336 1.467260 3.763178 7.595547 13.768168
2025-05-18 NaN 0.025016 0.349462 1.469560 3.904535 8.039837 14.773568
2025-05-25 NaN 0.015443 0.309901 1.430181 3.961744 8.348581 15.582270
2025-06-01 NaN 0.013449 0.316650 1.516259 4.268179 9.073653 17.035345
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008813 0.294281 1.515957 4.401675 9.515512 18.064827
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008310 0.309437 1.627558 4.766734 10.352460 19.713868
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006829 0.311622 1.700167 5.054655 11.065732 21.183131
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004799 0.301475 1.732858 5.260888 11.645113 22.454065
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002327 0.270554 1.692317 5.309780 11.956420 23.312498
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001307 0.257320 1.706963 5.475775 12.471306 24.495578
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000666 0.245372 1.723124 5.644588 12.993265 25.695496